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陳月石\u003c/p>\u003cp>在重啟14天期逆回購操作后,央行繼續在公開市場大手筆投放呵護節前資金面。\u003c/p>\u003cp>1月22日,為對沖公開市場逆回購到期、現金投放等因素的影響,維護春節前流動性充裕,中國人民銀行以固定利率、數量招標方式開展了11575億元14天期逆回購操作,操作利率持平在1.65%。\u003c/p>\u003cp>Wind數據顯示,11575億元的規模為14天期逆回購操作的最高記錄。鑒于有9595億元逆回購到期,央行單日在公開市場通過逆回購操作凈投放1980億元。1月21日,中國人民銀行在公開市場重啟14天期逆回購操作。\u003c/p>\u003cp>東方金誠首席宏觀分析師王青表示,央行今日開展歷史最大規模14天期逆回購操作,主要是為了對沖大額7天期逆回購到期,同時在節前適度向市場投放流動性,避免資金面大幅波動。\u003c/p>\u003cp>談及上周資金面偏緊的原因,民生證券固收團隊指出,核心在于資金供需的階段性失衡,一方面是受MLF大額回籠、繳稅高峰、春節取現等因素影響,資金需求增加,另一方面供給端“防空轉”、“穩匯率”訴求之下,央行流動性投放相對審慎,疊加大行相對缺負債,融出能力下滑,進一步放大供需缺口。\u003c/p>\u003cp>華泰證券固收團隊指出,本周稅期過去,MLF和14天逆回購開始投放,但春節取現、信貸投放仍有擾動,美聯儲降息節奏推后對匯率制約仍在。資金面預計繼續處于緊平衡狀態,而貨幣政策大方向并沒有變化,央行有臨時隔夜逆回購等工具在手,真正的“極端價格”風險其實不大,更多以管理市場預期為主。\u003c/p>\u003cp>“就節前來看,考慮到央行已于上月開展高達1.4萬億元買斷式逆回購操作、相當于提前向市場釋放了較大規模中期流動性,本月26日MLF操作將繼續較大規模縮量,持續淡化MLF操作利率的政策利率色彩;綜合當前市場流動性安排、債市調控及宏觀經濟運行態勢判斷,春節前降準的可能性已經不大。”王青認為。\u003c/p>","type":"text"}],"currentPage":0,"pageSize":1},"editorName":"張愉","faceUrl":"","vestAccountDetail":{},"subscribe":{"cateid":"澎湃新聞","type":"source","catename":"澎湃新聞","description":"","cateSource":"","backgroud":"http://p1.ifengimg.com/ifengimcp/pic/20160919/d236177a15798b010c4c_size104_w720_h186.png","api":"http://api.iclient.ifeng.com/api_wemedia_list?type=source&keyword=%E6%BE%8E%E6%B9%83%E6%96%B0%E9%97%BB","originalName":"","redirectTab":"article","newsTime":"2025-01-22 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央行開展超萬億元14天期逆回購操作
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央行開展超萬億元14天期逆回購操作

澎湃新聞記者 陳月石

在重啟14天期逆回購操作后,央行繼續在公開市場大手筆投放呵護節前資金面。

1月22日,為對沖公開市場逆回購到期、現金投放等因素的影響,維護春節前流動性充裕,中國人民銀行以固定利率、數量招標方式開展了11575億元14天期逆回購操作,操作利率持平在1.65%。

Wind數據顯示,11575億元的規模為14天期逆回購操作的最高記錄。鑒于有9595億元逆回購到期,央行單日在公開市場通過逆回購操作凈投放1980億元。1月21日,中國人民銀行在公開市場重啟14天期逆回購操作。

東方金誠首席宏觀分析師王青表示,央行今日開展歷史最大規模14天期逆回購操作,主要是為了對沖大額7天期逆回購到期,同時在節前適度向市場投放流動性,避免資金面大幅波動。

談及上周資金面偏緊的原因,民生證券固收團隊指出,核心在于資金供需的階段性失衡,一方面是受MLF大額回籠、繳稅高峰、春節取現等因素影響,資金需求增加,另一方面供給端“防空轉”、“穩匯率”訴求之下,央行流動性投放相對審慎,疊加大行相對缺負債,融出能力下滑,進一步放大供需缺口。

華泰證券固收團隊指出,本周稅期過去,MLF和14天逆回購開始投放,但春節取現、信貸投放仍有擾動,美聯儲降息節奏推后對匯率制約仍在。資金面預計繼續處于緊平衡狀態,而貨幣政策大方向并沒有變化,央行有臨時隔夜逆回購等工具在手,真正的“極端價格”風險其實不大,更多以管理市場預期為主。

“就節前來看,考慮到央行已于上月開展高達1.4萬億元買斷式逆回購操作、相當于提前向市場釋放了較大規模中期流動性,本月26日MLF操作將繼續較大規模縮量,持續淡化MLF操作利率的政策利率色彩;綜合當前市場流動性安排、債市調控及宏觀經濟運行態勢判斷,春節前降準的可能性已經不大。”王青認為。